This mess won’t be broadcast, and I, for one, am grateful. It’s overblown. And apparently organized by some racist, rapey, people. That said, movies are fun so let’s do something predictions.

Who I think should win and who will actually win are often different. In fact, some of the people I thought should be nominated, weren’t. I barely watched TV, so I’ll only do movies. Here goes nothing:

Best Director, Motion Picture

Kenneth Branagh (“Belfast”) 

Jane Campion (“The Power of the Dog”) – Will Win and Should Win

Maggie Gyllenhaal (“The Lost Daughter”)

Steven Spielberg (“West Side Story”) 

Denis Villeneuve (“Dune”) 

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy

Marion Cotillard (“Annette”)

Alana Haim (“Licorice Pizza”) Will Win

Jennifer Lawrence (“Don’t Look Up”)

Emma Stone (“Cruella”)

Rachel Zegler (“West Side Story”)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture, Drama

Mahershala Ali (“Swan Song”)

Javier Bardem (“Being the Ricardos”)

Benedict Cumberbatch (“The Power of the Dog”) Will Win and Should Win

Will Smith (“King Richard”) 

Denzel Washington (“The Tragedy of Macbeth”)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture, Musical or Comedy

Leonardo DiCaprio (“Don’t Look Up”) Should Win

Peter Dinklage (“Cyrano”) 

Andrew Garfield (“Tick, Tick … Boom!”) Will Win

Cooper Hoffman (“Licorice Pizza”)

Anthony Ramos (“In the Heights”)

Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture

Ben Affleck (“The Tender Bar”)

Jamie Dornan (“Belfast”)

Ciarán Hinds (“Belfast”) 

Troy Kotsur (“CODA”) – Should Win

Kodi Smit-McPhee (“The Power of the Dog”) – Will Win

Best Picture, Musical or Comedy

“Cyrano” (MGM)

“Don’t Look Up” (Netflix) – Should Win

“Licorice Pizza” (MGM) – Will Win

“Tick, Tick … Boom!” (Netflix) 

“West Side Story” (20th Century Studios / Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures) 

Best Supporting Actress, Motion Picture

Caitríona Balfe (“Belfast”) – Should Win

Ariana DeBose (“West Side Story”) – Will Win

Kirsten Dunst (“The Power of the Dog”) 

Aunjanue Ellis (“King Richard”) 

Ruth Negga (“Passing”)

Best Screenplay, Motion Picture

Paul Thomas Anderson — “Licorice Pizza” (MGM/United Artists Releasing) 

Kenneth Branagh — “Belfast” (Focus Features) 

Jane Campion — “The Power of the Dog” (Netflix) – Should Win

Adam McKay — “Don’t Look Up” (Netflix) – Will Win

Aaron Sorkin — “Being the Ricardos” (Amazon Studios)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture, Drama

Jessica Chastain (“The Eyes of Tammy Faye”) -Should Win

Olivia Colman (“The Lost Daughter”) 

Nicole Kidman (“Being the Ricardos”)

Lady Gaga (“House of Gucci”)

Kristen Stewart (“Spencer”) – Will Win

Best Motion Picture, Drama

“Belfast” (Focus Features) 

“CODA” (Apple)

“Dune” (Warner Bros.) 

“King Richard” (Warner Bros.) 

“The Power of the Dog” (Netflix) -Will Win and Should Win